{"id":4540,"date":"2025-02-06T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-06T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/?p=4540"},"modified":"2025-02-05T14:59:05","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T19:59:05","slug":"restaurant-sales-projected-to-grow-by-a-mere-0-8-in-2025-amid-tariff-threats-changes-to-immigration-and-low-consumer-confidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/fr\/restaurant-sales-projected-to-grow-by-a-mere-0-8-in-2025-amid-tariff-threats-changes-to-immigration-and-low-consumer-confidence\/","title":{"rendered":"Restaurant sales projected to grow by a mere 0.8% in 2025 amid tariff threats, changes to immigration and low consumer confidence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Foodservice sales are forecast to grow by 3.7% in the first quarter of 2025, thanks to a significant boost from the GST and HST holiday, but restaurants are still facing economic headwinds after a weak third quarter, according to Restaurants Canada\u2019s latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/research\/the-quarterly-q4-2024\/\">Quarterly Report<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Quarterly Report at a glance:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Restaurant, caterer and bar sales are forecast to surpass $100B in 2025, representing a 3.9% nominal increase over 2024. Adjusted for menu inflation, real sales are forecast to grow by 0.8% compared to relatively flat real sales in 2024.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Caterers are expected to see the strongest growth in 2025 at 4.3%, followed by quick-service restaurants (4.0%), full-service restaurants (3.8%) and drinking places (1.5%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>More than a third of Canadians (36%) are going out to eat less frequently. Gen X report the largest reduction in visits to full-service restaurants (41%), while Gen Z are most likely to cut back on quick-service restaurants (42%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Menu inflation continued to moderate in the last half of 2024, with November menu prices being 3.4% higher compared to November 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Restaurants Canada estimates foodservice sales could be $1.5B higher over the GST\/HST holiday period than they would have been if there was no tax holiday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This issue of the Quarterly also starts to examine how significant changes to immigration and tariff threats will affect the restaurant industry and the economy, how foodservice businesses are responding to a rise in crime, and strategies consumers are employing to make dining out more affordable.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:28px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Quotes from Kelly Higginson, President and CEO at Restaurants Canada:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c2024 was a very difficult year for the restaurant industry, and our forecasting tells us that we are not out of the woods yet. Restaurants face significant threats, including drastic cuts to immigration amid a very tight labour market in much of the country outside of urban centres, a tariff dispute with the U.S. and continued low consumer confidence.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are calling on governments to permanently remove sales taxes from restaurant meals. Early data about the GST and HST holiday give us some hope for a stronger start in 2025. Restaurants are the fourth largest employer in the country with nearly 1.2 million workers, they support local economies and initiatives in every community across Canada, and they improve the day-to-day quality of life of Canadians. Restoring food tax fairness is a win for all.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To access the full report, click <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/research\/the-quarterly-q4-2024\/\">here<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Media Contact:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Milena Stanoeva, Restaurants Canada | <a href=\"mailto:media@restaurantscanada.org\">media@restaurantscanada.org<\/a> | 647-921-1758<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">About Restaurants Canada<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants Canada is a national, not-for-profit association advancing Canada\u2019s diverse and dynamic foodservice industry. Restaurants are a $120 billion industry employing nearly 1.2 million Canadians and is the number one source of first-time jobs in Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"french\">Maigre hausse de 0,8% des ventes des restaurants en 2025 en raison des menaces de tarifs douaniers, des changements en mati\u00e8re d&rsquo;immigration et de la faible confiance des consommateurs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Les ventes des services alimentaires devraient cro\u00eetre de 3,7 % au premier trimestre de 2025, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 une augmentation significative due au cong\u00e9 de TPS et de TVH, mais les restaurants sont toujours confront\u00e9s \u00e0 des vents contraires \u00e9conomiques apr\u00e8s un troisi\u00e8me trimestre faible, selon le dernier <a href=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/research\/the-quarterly-q4-2024\/\">rapport trimestriel de Restaurants Canada <\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rapport trimestriel en un coup d&rsquo;\u0153il :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les ventes des restaurants, traiteurs et bars devraient d\u00e9passer les 100 milliards de dollars en 2025, soit une augmentation nominale de 3,9 % par rapport \u00e0 2024. Ajust\u00e9es \u00e0 l&rsquo;inflation des menus, les ventes r\u00e9elles devraient augmenter de 0,8 % par rapport aux ventes r\u00e9elles relativement stables en 2024.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les traiteurs devraient conna\u00eetre la plus forte croissance en 2025, soit 4,3 %, suivis par la restauration rapide (4,0 %), les restaurants \u00e0 service complet (3,8 %) et les d\u00e9bits de boissons (1,5 %).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Plus d\u2019un tiers des Canadiens (36 %) vont moins souvent au restaurant. La g\u00e9n\u00e9ration X signale la plus forte r\u00e9duction de ses visites dans les restaurants \u00e0 service complet (41 %), tandis que la g\u00e9n\u00e9ration Z est la plus susceptible de r\u00e9duire sa fr\u00e9quentation des restaurants \u00e0 service rapide (42 %).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L&rsquo;inflation des menus a continu\u00e9 de se mod\u00e9rer au cours du dernier semestre 2024, les prix des menus de novembre \u00e9tant 3,4 % plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s par rapport \u00e0 novembre 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Restaurants Canada estime que les ventes de services alimentaires devraient \u00eatre sup\u00e9rieures de 1,5 milliard de dollars pendant la p\u00e9riode de vacances de TPS\/TVH par rapport \u00e0 ce qu&rsquo;elles auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 s&rsquo;il n&rsquo;y avait pas eu de cong\u00e9 de TPS.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce num\u00e9ro de la revue trimestrielle commence \u00e9galement \u00e0 examiner comment les changements importants apport\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019immigration et aux menaces tarifaires affecteront l\u2019industrie de la restauration et l\u2019\u00e9conomie, comment les entreprises de restauration r\u00e9agissent \u00e0 l\u2019augmentation de la criminalit\u00e9 et les strat\u00e9gies employ\u00e9es par les consommateurs pour rendre les repas au restaurant plus abordables.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Citations de Maximilien Roy, Vice-pr\u00e9sident F\u00e9d\u00e9ral et Qu\u00e9bec de Restaurants Canada :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00ab 2024 a \u00e9t\u00e9 une ann\u00e9e tr\u00e8s difficile pour le secteur de la restauration, et nos pr\u00e9visions nous indiquent que nous ne sommes pas encore sortis d\u2019affaire. Les restaurants sont confront\u00e9s \u00e0 des menaces importantes, notamment des r\u00e9ductions drastiques de l\u2019immigration dans un contexte de march\u00e9 du travail tr\u00e8s tendu dans une grande partie du pays en dehors des centres urbains, un conflit tarifaire avec les \u00c9tats-Unis et une confiance des consommateurs toujours faible. \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00ab Nous demandons aux gouvernements de supprimer d\u00e9finitivement les taxes de vente sur les repas servis au restaurant. Les premi\u00e8res donn\u00e9es sur le cong\u00e9 de la TPS et de la TVH nous donnent l\u2019espoir d\u2019un meilleur d\u00e9part en 2025. Les restaurants sont le quatri\u00e8me plus grand employeur du pays avec pr\u00e8s de 1,2 million de travailleurs, ils soutiennent les \u00e9conomies et les initiatives locales dans toutes les collectivit\u00e9s du Canada et ils am\u00e9liorent la qualit\u00e9 de vie quotidienne des Canadiens. Le r\u00e9tablissement de l\u2019\u00e9quit\u00e9 fiscale en mati\u00e8re d\u2019alimentation est une victoire pour tous. \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Contact m\u00e9dia :<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Milena Stanoeva , Restaurants Canada | <a href=\"mailto:media@restaurantscanada.org\">media@restaurantscanada.org<\/a> | 647-921-1758<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u00c0 propos de Restaurants Canada<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Restaurants Canada est une association nationale \u00e0 but non lucratif qui promeut le secteur diversifi\u00e9 et dynamique de la restauration au Canada. La restauration repr\u00e9sente une industrie de 120 milliards de dollars qui emploie pr\u00e8s de 1,2 million de Canadiens et constitue la premi\u00e8re source de nouveaux emplois au Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Foodservice sales are forecast to grow by 3.7% in the first quarter of 2025, thanks to a significant boost from the GST and HST holiday, but restaurants are still facing economic headwinds after a weak third quarter, according to Restaurants Canada\u2019s latest Quarterly Report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":4541,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,82],"tags":[90],"advocacy-issue":[],"news-region":[27],"class_list":["post-4540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-press","tag-research-and-trends","news-region-national"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Restaurant sales projected to grow by a mere 0.8% in 2025 amid tariff threats, changes to immigration and low consumer confidence - Restaurants Canada<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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