{"id":4959,"date":"2025-03-06T19:45:21","date_gmt":"2025-03-07T00:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/?p=4959"},"modified":"2025-03-06T19:45:24","modified_gmt":"2025-03-07T00:45:24","slug":"another-pause-but-the-threat-remains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/fr\/another-pause-but-the-threat-remains\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Pause \u2013 But the Threat Remains\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Another Pause \u2013 But the Threat Remains<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As CBC\u2019s Washington-based reporter Alexander Panetta put it, <em>\u201cBeing confused by U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s tariff plans isn\u2019t a flaw \u2013 it\u2019s proof you\u2019re paying attention.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just before I sat down to write this update, Trump announced yet another pause on tariffs. But the message from Washington is clear: we must assume the tariffs will be back. The lobbying efforts here in the U.S. capital remain in full swing, and we cannot afford to let our guard down.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Americans Support Free Trade\u2014But Fear Speaking Up<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I&rsquo;ve met with so many people over the past few days that it\u2019s a challenge to keep track of all the perspectives. However, some key themes have emerged.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is broad support for free trade with Canada and Mexico, but Americans don\u2019t think about Canada as much as we think about them. One key takeaway? We cannot take our trade relationship for granted.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While most elected officials\u2014particularly Republicans\u2014and business leaders want to avoid a trade war with Canada, few are willing to openly push back against the tariffs. The reason? They fear losing access and influence with the current administration. Many rely on Trump\u2019s posts on Truth Social for updates, and even here, nobody seems certain about what happens next.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Strategy Behind Tariff Threats<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The prevailing belief in Washington is that Trump\u2019s tariff threats are aimed at bringing manufacturing back to the U.S.\u2014a move many see as economically unfeasible. Others believe the tariffs are simply a bargaining chip for renegotiating the USMCA. And as for Trump\u2019s infamous <em>51st state<\/em> comment? Most see it as a joke that went too far.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Should Canada Retaliate?<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Some members have asked: <em>Why is Canada implementing retaliatory tariffs? Won\u2019t they just hurt our own economy by driving up inflation?<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a fair question, and I\u2019ve spent the day speaking with trade experts at the Canadian Embassy, along with American stakeholders, to get a clear answer. The reality is this: retaliatory tariffs are about leverage.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Farmers and ranchers\u2014key Trump supporters\u2014are deeply opposed to trade wars. Their livelihoods depend on exports, and past tariff battles have cost them dearly. When China retaliated against U.S. tariffs on soybeans, it shifted trade to Brazil\u2014permanently damaging U.S. market share. The impact was so severe that the U.S. government had to issue a financial bailout. Today, that bailout fund is in dire fiscal shape, making another rescue difficult.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Canadian tariffs target this group, they will exert significant pressure on the U.S. administration to return to free trade. Mexico is employing the same strategy, amplifying the impact. Washington knows this\u2014and they know we know it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"745\" src=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-1024x745.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4960\" style=\"width:750px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-1024x745.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-768x559.png 768w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-1536x1117.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45-600x436.png 600w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Untitled-design-45.png 1540w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>During my visit the Canadian Embassy has been a tremendous help on many levels, especially Sonja Frohberg, Counsellor (Agriculture and Fisheries).\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Retaliation List &amp; Next Steps<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Canadian government has released a second list of potential retaliatory tariffs for consultation. If there\u2019s a strong case for an exemption, Ottawa is open to considering it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our Tariff Working Group, comprised of supply chain experts, is actively building our case for exemptions. A big thank you to our working group members for the invaluable data they\u2019re providing. Our submission will be ready for the government next week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Canada Strengthening Internal Trade<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Internal Trade Minister Anita Anand announced yesterday that all provinces and territories with the exception of Newfoundland and Labrador and PEI will soon allow consumers to buy alcohol from other jurisdictions. The Committee on Internal Trade will also create a process to recognize labour credentials by June 1, while governments are moving forward with mutual recognition negotiations and reviewing their Canada Free Trade Agreement exceptions. Restaurants Canada has been lobbying on this issue for years and we are happy to see some real progress on this front.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We will continue to provide updates as the tariff situation unfolds. <strong>Restaurants Canada, alongside our partners, is working hard to protect our industry and ensure our voices are heard.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stay tuned for my next blog\u2014more updates coming soon.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The View From Washington: Richard Alexander\u2019s Blog from the Tariff Trade Mission to Washington<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":4960,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[85],"tags":[],"advocacy-issue":[],"news-region":[27],"class_list":["post-4959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","news-region-national"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - 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