{"id":1465,"date":"2023-11-24T17:55:02","date_gmt":"2023-11-24T22:55:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/research\/menu-inflation-moderates-to-19-month-low-in-october\/"},"modified":"2024-05-10T12:25:12","modified_gmt":"2024-05-10T16:25:12","slug":"menu-inflation-moderates-to-19-month-low-in-october","status":"publish","type":"research","link":"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/fr\/research\/menu-inflation-moderates-to-19-month-low-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Menu inflation moderates to 19-month low in October"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>According to the latest data from Statistics Canada, menu inflation in Canada slowed to 5.7% in October after holding steady at 6.1% the previous three months. This is the lowest inflation rate recorded by Statistics Canada since March 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most provinces saw lower menu inflation rates in October compared to September. Due to the high concentration of independent restaurants, menu inflation is the highest in Quebec at 7.2% in October., while Alberta boasted the lowest menu inflation rate at 4.7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Looking ahead, menu inflation is not expected to return to is long run average of 2.5 to 3% &#8212; at least not in the short term.<\/strong>&nbsp; According to Restaurants Canada\u2019s latest Restaurant Outlook Survey, restaurant companies are expecting menu prices will be 6% higher in 2024 compared to 2023. With overall inflation trending down, why are restaurants expecting an uptick in menu inflation?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the Restaurant Outlook Survey, restaurant owners are still bracing for higher labour and food costs in 2024 compared to 2023.&nbsp; Nearly 6 in 10 restaurants say that labour costs will be significantly higher in 2024 compared to 2023. On October 1<sup>st<\/sup>, six provinces raised their minimum wage, with the biggest year-over-year increases in Manitoba (+13.3%), Nova Scotia (+10.3%), Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland &amp; Labrador (+9.5%). The expectation of high food and insurance costs is also contributing to higher menu prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chart-1-3-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20944\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chart-2-3-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20946\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile\" style=\"grid-template-columns:30% auto\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"400\" src=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chris-Elliott.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1161 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chris-Elliott.png 400w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chris-Elliott-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.restaurantscanada.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Chris-Elliott-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">As the\u00a0<strong>Chief Economist and Vice President of Research for Restaurants Canada, Chris Elliott<\/strong>\u00a0manages and produces a comprehensive research program that has made Restaurants Canada a leading source of information for and about Canada\u2019s $114-billion foodservice industry. Chris tracks and analyzes key industry and economic indicators and translates them into member reports and publications. He also provides research to support Restaurants Canada\u2019s lobbying efforts on issues that affect foodservice operators \u2013 from payroll taxes to food costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Chris has worked with Restaurants Canada for&nbsp;over 20 years, has a Bachelor of Arts and Master Degree in Economics and specializes in economic modelling and forecasting.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to the latest data from Statistics Canada, menu inflation in Canada slowed to 5.7% in October after&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1611,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"research-type":[177],"advocacy-issue":[],"class_list":["post-1465","research","type-research","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","research-type-economists-notebook"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Menu inflation moderates to 19-month low in October - 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