Foodservice sales show uneven growth in early 2026 amid consumer pressures
In the first two months of the year, commercial foodservice sales in Canada showed mixed performance, according to the latest data from Statistics Canada. Weak consumer confidence and ongoing affordability pressures are prompting guests to seek lower-priced menu options or reduce how often they dine out.
After adjusting for menu inflation, quick-service restaurant sales edged up a tepid 0.5% in February, following a 1.9% decline in January. While most provinces recorded modest gains in the first two months of 2026, Ontario (-1.2%), Quebec (-1.2%) and Prince Edward Island (-3.6%) reported the largest real declines.
In contrast, real sales at full-service restaurants increased by 7.1% in February. However, this growth largely reflects a base effect, as sales had fallen by 5.2% in February 2025.
The combination of weak consumer spending and rising operating costs has put pressure on restaurant operator margins. In a survey conducted by Restaurants Canada earlier this year, nearly half (48%) of foodservice companies expect their profits to be worse in 2026 compared to 2025.
To explore more provincial and segment-level trends, click here to access the Restaurant Industry at a Glance dashboard.
As a Research Analyst with Restaurants Canada, Sara Hamdy contributes to a research program that helps make Restaurants Canada a trusted source of insight for and about Canada’s $125-billion foodservice industry. Sara develops and maintains analytical reports and interactive dashboards that present key economic and market trends in a clear and engaging way for members and the public.
Her work supports Restaurants Canada’s advocacy and industry initiatives by transforming complex data into accessible information that guides operators, policymakers, and media.
